Parameter Uncertainty Modelling in Water Distribution Network Models

Uncertainty In Water Distribution Network Modeling

Once the mag nitude of the unce rtainty is understood, an engineer can use that inform ation in several ways. Based on the predic tion unce rtainty in pr esent o r future conditions, safety factors can be included in design of network improvements. To enhance m odel predictions, additional field data can be collected w hich will lea d to more precise model parameters. Using the prediction uncer...

Probabilistic Allocation Of Parking lots In Distribution Network Considering Uncertainty.

In this paper, parking lots with bidirectional power flow capability, is used as an achievements of smart power systems. Based on operating conditions, electric vehicles can be considered  as a load  or generator. For optimal operation of power systems, allocation of these novel units is also necessary same as other distributed generation. In this paper, an optimization problem is  proposed for...

Mortality Improvement Rates: Modelling and Parameter Uncertainty

Rather than looking at mortality rates directly, a number of recent academic studies have looked at modelling rates of improvement in mortality when making mortality projections. Although relatively new in the academic literature, the use of mortality improvement rates has a long-standing tradition in actuarial practice when allowing for improvements in mortality from standard mortality tables....

Parameter Uncertainty in Credit Risk Portfolio Models

Incorporating uncertainty in predictive species distribution modelling.

Motivated by the need to solve ecological problems (climate change, habitat fragmentation and biological invasions), there has been increasing interest in species distribution models (SDMs). Predictions from these models inform conservation policy, invasive species management and disease-control measures. However, predictions are subject to uncertainty, the degree and source of which is often u...